Resumen

El objetivo del presente estudio fue analizar la influencia del resultado parcial en el resultado final en baloncesto en función del sexo. La muestra estuvo compuesta por un total de 746 partidos de la temporada 2019-2020, 424 partidos de la Primera División Masculina (ACB) y 322 partidos de la Primera División Femenina (Liga Endesa). Para evaluar el objetivo de estudio, se utilizaron análisis de covariación y árboles de decisión. Los resultados muestran en baloncesto masculino una asociación moderada en el primer y tercer cuarto con el resultado final, y en baloncesto femenino una asociación alta en el primer cuarto y moderada en el segundo y el último. Los árboles de decisión señalan que el tercer y primer cuarto influyen en la mayor probabilidad de ganar el partido en baloncesto masculino, por el contrario, en baloncesto femenino los cuartos más determinantes son el primer y segundo cuarto. En conclusión, los resultados obtenidos realizan la primera aproximación a través del método científico al análisis de la dinámica del marcador parcial en el resultado final de los partidos de baloncesto. Cada competición posee unas características específicas en la influencia del resultado parcial en el resultado final. Mientras para los hombres es muy importante llevar la iniciativa en el inicio de la segunda parte (Q3), en las mujeres el inicio del partido es determinante (Q1). La composición de los quintetos, las rotaciones de los jugadores y el ritmo del partido son acciones los entrenadores controlarán para garantizar el éxito parcial y el éxito final.

Abstract

The objective of the present study was to analyse the influence of the partial result on the final result in basketball according to sex. The sample consisted of a total of 746 matches during 2019-2020 season, 424 matches from the Men's First Division (ACB) and 322 matches from the Women's First Division (Liga Endesa). To evaluate the study objective, covariation analysis and decision trees were used. The results showed in men’s basketball a moderate association in the first and third quarters with the match outcome, while in women’s basketball a high association in the first quarter and a moderate association in the second and last quarter. The decision trees indicated that the third and first quarter influence in greater probability of winning in men's basketball, instead, in women's basketball the most determining quarters for winning are the first and second. In conclusion, the obtained results realize the first approximation to the analysis of the dynamics of the partial score in the final outcome of basketball matches. Each competition has specific characteristics in the influence of the partial score on the final outcome. While for men it is very important to take the initiative at the start of the second half (Q3), for women the start of the game is decisive (Q1). The composition of the quintets, the rotations of the players and the rhythm of the match are actions the coaches will control to guarantee the partial success and the final success.

https://doi.org/10.5232/ricyde2022.07001

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